Why I haven't tried to forecast AI progress but will soon
damienlaird.substack.com
Summary I have dedicated a lot of time and energy to better understanding and forecasting global catastrophic risks, but have largely neglected AI risk. I explain my reasoning for this and how it’s changed over time. Then I lay out my strategy for how I plan to start working in this area, and list what I expect to be publicly publishing along the way.
Why I haven't tried to forecast AI progress but will soon
Why I haven't tried to forecast AI progress…
Why I haven't tried to forecast AI progress but will soon
Summary I have dedicated a lot of time and energy to better understanding and forecasting global catastrophic risks, but have largely neglected AI risk. I explain my reasoning for this and how it’s changed over time. Then I lay out my strategy for how I plan to start working in this area, and list what I expect to be publicly publishing along the way.