Pre-Mortem: Metaculus' AI Progress Tournament (...Sort Of)
damienlaird.substack.com
I most recently wrote about my reasoning for wanting to try and forecast AI progress soon, and painted a rough picture of my next steps. Since then I’ve poked around the space and settled on an initial target for my efforts: Metaculus’ Forecasting AI Progress Tournament
Pre-Mortem: Metaculus' AI Progress Tournament (...Sort Of)
Pre-Mortem: Metaculus' AI Progress Tournament…
Pre-Mortem: Metaculus' AI Progress Tournament (...Sort Of)
I most recently wrote about my reasoning for wanting to try and forecast AI progress soon, and painted a rough picture of my next steps. Since then I’ve poked around the space and settled on an initial target for my efforts: Metaculus’ Forecasting AI Progress Tournament